SwampInsiders/Case Studies
Real Trades. Real Scores.
Five documented congressional trades — scored by the SwampScore engine. See which factors fired, why the score is what it is, and what happened next. One of these is a score we're proud to get wrong.
HIGHBUYRTX·2023-10-10
When Armed Services Buys Defense on Day One
Brian Mast — RTX — October 2023
Armed ServicesHerding ClusterDefenseDirect Overlap
HIGHBUYLHX·2022-04-05
The Federal Contract That Came 45 Days Later
Tommy Tuberville — LHX — April 2022
Armed ServicesFederal AwardDefenseDirect Overlap
HIGHBUYNVDA·2021-06-17
The Foreign Affairs Chair Who Understood Export Controls
Michael McCaul — NVDA — June 2021
Foreign AffairsExport ControlsTechnologySector Cap
MEDIUMBUYNVDA·2021-06-18
The Trade That Everyone Watched — And Almost Qualified
Nancy Pelosi (via Paul Pelosi) — NVDA — June 2021
SpeakerLeadershipSpouse MultiplierTechnology
LOWSELLWH / PK·2020-02-26
The Most Famous Insider Trade SwampScore Would Have Missed
Richard Burr — Hotels SELL — February 2020
Intelligence CommitteeCOVIDNo Committee OverlapMacro Intel
Methodology note: Scores are computed using the live SwampScore formula applied to the trade parameters at the time of filing. Historical alpha bonuses use estimated win rates from available public data; backtest-grade rolling estimates may differ slightly. The formula is documented in full on the SwampInsiders home page.